Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.191054 5.641588 6.143781 6.751637 7.476793 8.326817 9.418647
2025-02-02 4.936147 5.607866 6.423220 7.515888 8.994748 11.020010 14.209025
2025-02-09 4.561054 5.358896 6.394475 7.907790 10.213364 13.940524 21.565423
2025-02-16 4.205898 5.076279 6.270202 8.153241 11.369496 17.616471 36.134267
2025-02-23 3.877725 4.780969 6.076903 8.259579 12.409633 22.251323 74.563098
2025-03-02 3.495643 4.362104 5.637838 7.872930 12.425965 24.929364 161.300057
2025-03-09 3.239266 4.094831 5.390545 7.763825 13.013365 30.625887 NaN
2025-03-16 2.960929 3.767350 5.006229 7.328571 12.702234 33.119024 NaN
2025-03-23 2.815441 3.625254 4.902868 7.406104 13.747972 46.085284 NaN
2025-03-30 2.661761 3.456078 4.733044 7.316986 14.340292 62.069325 NaN
2025-04-06 2.505045 3.269408 4.512709 7.080673 14.395134 77.326293 NaN
2025-04-13 2.343434 3.064079 4.241170 6.690402 13.788231 81.260341 NaN
2025-04-20 2.283611 3.028383 4.285227 7.060022 16.380957 443.960465 NaN
2025-04-27 2.275930 3.077420 4.493393 7.907548 22.735025 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.216666 3.035373 4.526435 8.351861 29.013755 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.145507 2.966787 4.498732 8.634695 36.264948 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.067867 2.880478 4.424034 8.762062 44.057946 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.958027 2.729448 4.197409 8.339734 42.784600 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.879726 2.630029 4.071087 8.223939 47.138887 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.783364 2.492723 3.851753 7.745993 43.036190 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.733087 2.435620 3.800031 7.834557 52.375721 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.675022 2.360814 3.702452 7.738212 58.104727 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.611349 2.272467 3.567846 7.478860 57.677906 NaN NaN